Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Móstoles
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Leganés II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Móstoles wins
0
Draws
0
Leganés II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
58%
44%
Attack
91%
89%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
15%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mós Móstoles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 | Leg Leganés II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Móstoles face Leganés II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Móstoles have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game). Leganés II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Móstoles, home advantage and superior chance creation make Móstoles to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Móstoles, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Leganés II. Our top recommended betting pick is Móstoles Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 09:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
