AfriPredictions
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Atlético Baleares
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Balear
Poblense
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
20%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72% 1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92% 1.02
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69% 1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
W W L D L
2-1-2
W-D-L
8:7
Goals
1.4
PPG
W L L L
1-0-3
W-D-L
2:5
Goals
0.75
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Baleares wins
0
Draws
1
Poblense wins
14 Aug 2026 Poblense 1 - 0 Atlético Baleares
Why this prediction
46% Recent form 25%
53% Attack 16%
53% Defence 58%
5% Head-to-head 95%
72% Win probability 8%
Home and away record
Atlético Baleares
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Poblense
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last 7 matches.
Atlético Baleares Poblense
71% 5/7 Over 1.5 goals 2/4 50%
57% 4/7 Over 2.5 goals 1/4 25%
43% 3/7 Over 3.5 goals 0/4 0%
43% 3/7 Both teams scored 1/4 25%
29% 2/7 Kept a clean sheet 1/4 25%
29% 2/7 Failed to score 2/4 50%
At half time
Atlético Baleares
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 20%
Level 20%
Behind 60%
Poblense
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break 25%
Level 25%
Behind 50%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
10 Atlético Baleares 10 3 4 3 0 13
11 Poblense 10 4 1 5 -3 13
Match Preview & Analysis

Atlético Baleares face Poblense in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. Atlético Baleares have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Poblense have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.75 points per game).

In their last 1 meeting on record, Atlético Baleares won 0, Poblense won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.

With a 72% probability backing Atlético Baleares, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atlético Baleares to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Atlético Baleares, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Poblense. Our top recommended betting pick is Atlético Baleares Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Balear as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
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