Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
RSD Alcalá
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Navalcarnero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
19%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
RSD Alcalá wins
0
Draws
0
Navalcarnero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
66%
83%
Attack
60%
58%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | RSD RSD Alcalá | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Nav Navalcarnero | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
RSD Alcalá face Navalcarnero in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5. RSD Alcalá have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Navalcarnero have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 55% probability backing RSD Alcalá, home advantage and superior chance creation make RSD Alcalá to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for RSD Alcalá, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Navalcarnero. Our top recommended betting pick is RSD Alcalá Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
