Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Lealtad
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Avilés Stadium
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
38%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
82%
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
14%
Over 2.5
18%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.66
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lealtad wins
0
Draws
0
Avilés Stadium wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
25%
22%
Attack
8%
66%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Lealtad
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Avilés Stadium
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Lealtad | Avilés Stadium | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Lealtad
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Avilés Stadium
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Lealtad |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 12 |
Avilés Stadium |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lealtad face Avilés Stadium in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2. Lealtad have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game). Avilés Stadium have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 14% and Both Teams to Score at 18%.
With a 48% probability backing Lealtad, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lealtad to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Lealtad, a 38% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Avilés Stadium. Our top recommended betting pick is Lealtad Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.66 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 18%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
