Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Colonia Moscardó
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pozuelo Alarcón
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
12%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.31
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Colonia Moscardó wins
0
Draws
0
Pozuelo Alarcón wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
40%
77%
Attack
26%
77%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Colonia Moscardó
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Pozuelo Alarcón
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Colonia Moscardó | Pozuelo Alarcón | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Colonia Moscardó
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Pozuelo Alarcón
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Colonia Moscardó |
9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +10 | 17 |
| 7 |
Pozuelo Alarcón |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Colonia Moscardó face Pozuelo Alarcón in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Colonia Moscardó have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game). Pozuelo Alarcón have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 84% probability backing Colonia Moscardó, home advantage and superior chance creation make Colonia Moscardó to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Colonia Moscardó, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Pozuelo Alarcón. Our top recommended betting pick is Colonia Moscardó Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.31 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
