Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Moralo
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Gévora
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Moralo wins
0
Draws
0
Gévora wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
33%
77%
Attack
41%
66%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Moralo
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Gévora
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Moralo | Gévora | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Moralo
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Gévora
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Moralo face Gévora in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Moralo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (3 points per game). Gévora have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Moralo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Moralo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Moralo, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Gévora. Our top recommended betting pick is Moralo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
