Serie C - Girone A · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Lecco
Home
2-2
Full time
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Union Brescia
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 1.84
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
29%
Away
61%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
24%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lecco wins
0
Draws
0
Union Brescia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
26%
Attack
80%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
61%
Home and away record
Lecco
last 5 at home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
0.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Union Brescia
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Lecco | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 3/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 22% 2/9 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Lecco
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Union Brescia
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Union Brescia |
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 28 |
| 7 |
Lecco |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lecco face Union Brescia in Serie C - Girone A. Lecco have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). Union Brescia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 24% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
Union Brescia's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 61% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Union Brescia to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Lecco, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 61% probability for Union Brescia. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Brescia Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
