Ettan - Norra · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Vasalund
Home
1-4
Full time
Skytteholms IP
Arlanda
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
13%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vasalund wins
0
Draws
0
Arlanda wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
60%
40%
Attack
66%
13%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Vasalund
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.57
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Arlanda
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vasalund | Arlanda | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Vasalund
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Arlanda
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vasalund face Arlanda in Ettan - Norra. Vasalund have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game). Arlanda have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 74% probability backing Vasalund, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vasalund to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Vasalund, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Arlanda. Our top recommended betting pick is Vasalund Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Skytteholms IP as part of the Ettan - Norra.
