Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Marino
Home
6-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Playas Sotavento
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Marino wins
0
Draws
0
Playas Sotavento wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
5%
44%
Attack
5%
5%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Marino
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Playas Sotavento
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
5.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Marino | Playas Sotavento | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Marino
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Playas Sotavento
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Marino |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 16 |
Playas Sotavento |
9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -17 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Marino face Playas Sotavento in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. Marino have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Playas Sotavento have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 7 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Marino, home advantage and superior chance creation make Marino to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Marino, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Playas Sotavento. Our top recommended betting pick is Marino Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
