Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
UD San Fernando
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Estrella
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
5%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD San Fernando wins
0
Draws
0
Estrella wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
66%
95%
Attack
95%
95%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
UD San Fernando
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Estrella
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
4.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| UD San Fernando | Estrella | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
UD San Fernando
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Estrella
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD San Fernando |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 |
| 13 |
Estrella |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UD San Fernando face Estrella in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. UD San Fernando have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 5 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Estrella have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing UD San Fernando, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD San Fernando to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for UD San Fernando, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Estrella. Our top recommended betting pick is UD San Fernando Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
