Eerste Divisie · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
VVV Venlo
Home
2-0
Full time
Seacon Stadion De Koel
Roda
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
17%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
83%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
83%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
VVV Venlo wins
0
Draws
0
Roda wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
93%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
VVV Venlo
last 8 at home
5W
0D
3L
1.88
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Roda
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| VVV Venlo | Roda | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
VVV Venlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Roda
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
VVV Venlo face Roda in Eerste Divisie. VVV Venlo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Roda have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 83%.
With a 57% probability backing VVV Venlo, home advantage and superior chance creation make VVV Venlo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for VVV Venlo, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Roda. Our top recommended betting pick is VVV Venlo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 83% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Seacon Stadion De Koel as part of the Eerste Divisie.
