Serie C - Girone B · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio Citta dell Aria
Pineto
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
10%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins
0
Draws
0
Pineto wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Pineto
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
Pineto
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |
Pineto |
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 face Pineto in Serie C - Girone B. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Pineto have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing Guidonia Montecelio 1937, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Guidonia Montecelio 1937, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Pineto. Our top recommended betting pick is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
