III Liga - Group 4 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Hetman Zamosc
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Chełmianka Chełm
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
27%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hetman Zamosc wins
0
Draws
1
Chełmianka Chełm wins
18 Jul 2026
Chełmianka Chełm
2 - 1
Hetman Zamosc
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
60%
Attack
40%
13%
Defence
93%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
24%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Hetman Zamosc
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Chełmianka Chełm
last 6 away from home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hetman Zamosc | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Hetman Zamosc
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Chełmianka Chełm
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chełmianka Chełm |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 40 |
| 3 |
Hetman Zamosc |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hetman Zamosc face Chełmianka Chełm in III Liga - Group 4. Hetman Zamosc have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game). Chełmianka Chełm have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 1 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Hetman Zamosc won 0, Chełmianka Chełm won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Chełmianka Chełm's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Chełmianka Chełm to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Hetman Zamosc, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Chełmianka Chełm. Our top recommended betting pick is Chełmianka Chełm Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
