Serie D - Girone A · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Derthona
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Alessandria
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Derthona wins
0
Draws
0
Alessandria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
95%
33%
Attack
66%
89%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
18%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ale Alessandria | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 3 | Der Derthona | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Derthona face Alessandria in Serie D - Girone A. Derthona have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game). Alessandria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Derthona, home advantage and superior chance creation make Derthona to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Derthona, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Alessandria. Our top recommended betting pick is Derthona Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone A.
