Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Vigor Lamezia
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
CastrumFavara
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.08
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
17%
Away
72%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vigor Lamezia wins
0
Draws
0
CastrumFavara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
44%
11%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
72%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cas CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Vig Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vigor Lamezia face CastrumFavara in Serie D - Girone I. Vigor Lamezia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.33 points per game). CastrumFavara have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
CastrumFavara's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 72% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CastrumFavara to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Vigor Lamezia, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 72% probability for CastrumFavara. Our top recommended betting pick is CastrumFavara Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone I.
