Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Correggese
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pavia
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
36%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.63
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Correggese v Pavia pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Correggese wins
0
Draws
0
Pavia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
25%
41%
Attack
8%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Correggese
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Pavia
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Correggese | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Correggese
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Pavia
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Correggese face Pavia in Serie D - Girone D. Correggese have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.25 points per game). Pavia have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
Pavia's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pavia to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Correggese, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Pavia. Our top recommended betting pick is Pavia Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.63 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
