Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Correggese
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pavia
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
36%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.63
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Correggese wins
0
Draws
0
Pavia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
22%
33%
Attack
11%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pav Pavia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Cor Correggese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Correggese face Pavia in Serie D - Girone D. Correggese have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game). Pavia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
Pavia's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pavia to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Correggese, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Pavia. Our top recommended betting pick is Pavia Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.63 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
