Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Crema
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Città di Varese
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.26
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
14%
Away
80%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Draw/Away
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Crema wins
0
Draws
0
Città di Varese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
8%
Recent form
53%
8%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
80%
Home and away record
Crema
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Città di Varese
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Crema | Città di Varese | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Crema
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
25%
Behind
75%
Città di Varese
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Città di Varese |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Crema |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Crema face Città di Varese in Serie D - Girone D. Crema have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 8 (0.25 points per game). Città di Varese have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Città di Varese's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 80% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Città di Varese to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for Crema, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 80% probability for Città di Varese. Our top recommended betting pick is Città di Varese Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
