Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Pontedera
Home
0-3
Full time
Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Cittadella Vis Modena
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.95
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
17%
Away
66%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pontedera wins
0
Draws
0
Cittadella Vis Modena wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
46%
25%
Attack
33%
5%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
66%
Home and away record
Pontedera
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Cittadella Vis Modena
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Pontedera | Cittadella Vis Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Pontedera
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
Cittadella Vis Modena
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Cittadella Vis Modena |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 15 |
Pontedera |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pontedera face Cittadella Vis Modena in Serie D - Girone D. Pontedera have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0 points per game). Cittadella Vis Modena have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Cittadella Vis Modena's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 66% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Cittadella Vis Modena to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Pontedera, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 66% probability for Cittadella Vis Modena. Our top recommended betting pick is Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Mannucci as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
