Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Sant'Angelo
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Castellanzese
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
24%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sant'Angelo wins
0
Draws
0
Castellanzese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
50%
33%
Attack
58%
75%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Sant'Angelo
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Castellanzese
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Sant'Angelo | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Sant'Angelo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Castellanzese
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Castellanzese |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 10 |
Sant'Angelo |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sant'Angelo face Castellanzese in Serie D - Girone D. Sant'Angelo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game). Castellanzese have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Castellanzese's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Castellanzese to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Sant'Angelo, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Castellanzese. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellanzese Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
