Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
USD Casatese
Home
0-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Pistoiese
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.99 - 2.13
Win probability
Home
12%
Draw
15%
Away
74%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
USD Casatese wins
0
Draws
0
Pistoiese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
86%
50%
Attack
73%
66%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
12%
Win probability
74%
Home and away record
USD Casatese
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Pistoiese
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| USD Casatese | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
USD Casatese
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Pistoiese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pistoiese |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 5 |
USD Casatese |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
USD Casatese face Pistoiese in Serie D - Girone D. USD Casatese have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game). Pistoiese have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 1 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
Pistoiese's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 74% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pistoiese to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 12% win probability for USD Casatese, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 74% probability for Pistoiese. Our top recommended betting pick is Pistoiese Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
