Serie D - Girone E · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Rondinella
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Progresso
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
29%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rondinella wins
0
Draws
0
Progresso wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
25%
8%
Attack
25%
50%
Defence
8%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Rondinella
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Progresso
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Rondinella | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Rondinella
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Progresso
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Rondinella |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |
Progresso |
10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Rondinella face Progresso in Serie D - Girone E. Rondinella have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.5 points per game). Progresso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 51% probability backing Rondinella, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rondinella to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Rondinella, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Progresso. Our top recommended betting pick is Rondinella Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone E.
