Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie D - Girone H · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Gravina
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Virtus Francavilla
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gravina wins
0
Draws
0
Virtus Francavilla wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
66%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Gravina
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Virtus Francavilla
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Gravina | Virtus Francavilla | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Gravina
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Virtus Francavilla
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Virtus Francavilla |
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 24 |
| 5 |
Gravina |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gravina face Virtus Francavilla in Serie D - Girone H. Gravina have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Virtus Francavilla have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
Virtus Francavilla's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Virtus Francavilla to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Gravina, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Virtus Francavilla. Our top recommended betting pick is Virtus Francavilla Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone H.
