Serie D - Girone H · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
USD Palmese
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Nardo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.93
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
65%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
USD Palmese wins
0
Draws
0
Nardo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
41%
Attack
73%
41%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
65%
Home and away record
USD Palmese
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Nardo
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
2.17
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| USD Palmese | Nardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
USD Palmese
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Nardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
USD Palmese face Nardo in Serie D - Girone H. USD Palmese have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Nardo have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 81%.
Nardo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 65% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Nardo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for USD Palmese, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 65% probability for Nardo. Our top recommended betting pick is Nardo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 81% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone H.
