Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Ancona
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadio del Conero
Sporting Trestina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
14%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ancona wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Trestina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
8%
41%
Attack
16%
66%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Ancona
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Sporting Trestina
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Ancona | Sporting Trestina | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Ancona
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Sporting Trestina
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Ancona |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 14 |
Sporting Trestina |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ancona face Sporting Trestina in Serie D - Girone F. Ancona have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game). Sporting Trestina have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 80% probability backing Ancona, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ancona to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Ancona, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Sporting Trestina. Our top recommended betting pick is Ancona Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
