Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Atletico Ascoli
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Fossombrone
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
11%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Atletico Ascoli v Fossombrone pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Ascoli wins
0
Draws
0
Fossombrone wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
25%
33%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atl Atletico Ascoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fos Fossombrone | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Ascoli face Fossombrone in Serie D - Girone F. Atletico Ascoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game). Fossombrone have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing Atletico Ascoli, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Ascoli to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Atletico Ascoli, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Fossombrone. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Ascoli Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
