Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Recanatese
Home
2-3
Full time
Nicola Tubaldi
Maceratese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Recanatese wins
0
Draws
0
Maceratese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
25%
41%
Attack
25%
83%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Recanatese
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Maceratese
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Recanatese | Maceratese | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Recanatese
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Maceratese
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Maceratese |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Recanatese |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Recanatese face Maceratese in Serie D - Girone F. Recanatese have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game). Maceratese have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Recanatese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Recanatese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Recanatese, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Maceratese. Our top recommended betting pick is Recanatese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
