Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Certosa V. Campagnano
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Aranova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
15%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Certosa V. Campagnano wins
0
Draws
0
Aranova wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
41%
58%
Attack
33%
91%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Certosa V. Campagnano
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Aranova
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Certosa V. Campagnano | Aranova | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 75% 3/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Certosa V. Campagnano
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
Aranova
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Certosa V. Campagnano |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Aranova |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Certosa V. Campagnano face Aranova in Serie D - Girone G. Certosa V. Campagnano have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 1 (2.25 points per game). Aranova have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 81% probability backing Certosa V. Campagnano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Certosa V. Campagnano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Certosa V. Campagnano, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Aranova. Our top recommended betting pick is Certosa V. Campagnano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone G.
