Serie D - Girone C · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Virtus Bolzano
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Calvi Noale
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
28%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Virtus Bolzano wins
0
Draws
0
Calvi Noale wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
41%
26%
Attack
16%
13%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Virtus Bolzano
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Calvi Noale
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Virtus Bolzano | Calvi Noale | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Virtus Bolzano
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
0%
Behind
60%
Calvi Noale
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Virtus Bolzano |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 |
Calvi Noale |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Virtus Bolzano face Calvi Noale in Serie D - Girone C. Virtus Bolzano have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game). Calvi Noale have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 54% probability backing Virtus Bolzano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Virtus Bolzano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Virtus Bolzano, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Calvi Noale. Our top recommended betting pick is Virtus Bolzano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone C.
