Segunda División · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Sporting Gijon
Home
3-2
Full time
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Celta de Vigo II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
20%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting Gijon wins
0
Draws
0
Celta de Vigo II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Sporting Gijon
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Celta de Vigo II
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sporting Gijon | Celta de Vigo II | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Sporting Gijon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Celta de Vigo II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Sporting Gijon |
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 |
Celta de Vigo II |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting Gijon face Celta de Vigo II in Segunda División. Sporting Gijon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Celta de Vigo II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
Celta de Vigo II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Celta de Vigo II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Sporting Gijon, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Celta de Vigo II. Our top recommended betting pick is Celta de Vigo II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 14:15 (East Africa Time) at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini as part of the Segunda División.
