Toppserien · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Vålerenga W
Home
1-1
Full time
Intility Arena
Rosenborg W
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
16%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
89%
1.06
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vålerenga W wins
0
Draws
0
Rosenborg W wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
80%
95%
Attack
86%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Vålerenga W
last 6 at home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Rosenborg W
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vålerenga W | Rosenborg W | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Vålerenga W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Rosenborg W
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vålerenga W face Rosenborg W in Toppserien. Vålerenga W have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 10 (2.4 points per game). Rosenborg W have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 89%.
With a 53% probability backing Vålerenga W, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vålerenga W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Vålerenga W, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Rosenborg W. Our top recommended betting pick is Vålerenga W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 89% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Intility Arena as part of the Toppserien.
