Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Gernika
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Sestao River
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
10%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gernika wins
0
Draws
0
Sestao River wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
80%
95%
Attack
73%
77%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Gernika
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sestao River
last 6 away from home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Gernika | Sestao River | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Gernika
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Sestao River
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
63%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gernika face Sestao River in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Gernika have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game). Sestao River have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 82% probability backing Gernika, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gernika to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Gernika, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Sestao River. Our top recommended betting pick is Gernika Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
