Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Ourense CF
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio de O Couto
Arosa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ourense CF wins
0
Draws
0
Arosa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
41%
33%
Attack
58%
60%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Ourense CF
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Arosa
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Ourense CF | Arosa | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Ourense CF
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Arosa
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ourense CF face Arosa in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Ourense CF have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Arosa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 52% probability backing Ourense CF, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ourense CF to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Ourense CF, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Arosa. Our top recommended betting pick is Ourense CF Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
