Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Somozas
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Sarriana
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
31%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.75
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Somozas wins
0
Draws
0
Sarriana wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
22%
Recent form
66%
11%
Attack
55%
77%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Somozas
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Sarriana
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Somozas | Sarriana | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Somozas
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Sarriana
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Somozas face Sarriana in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1. Somozas have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (0.67 points per game). Sarriana have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
Sarriana's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sarriana to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Somozas, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Sarriana. Our top recommended betting pick is Sarriana Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.75 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
