Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Amurrio Club
Home
0-5
Full time
Venue TBC
Leioa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Amurrio Club wins
0
Draws
0
Leioa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
20%
11%
Attack
33%
44%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
23%
Match Preview & Analysis
Amurrio Club face Leioa in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Amurrio Club have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.33 points per game). Leioa have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 21 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Amurrio Club, home advantage and superior chance creation make Amurrio Club to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Amurrio Club, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Leioa. Our top recommended betting pick is Amurrio Club Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
