Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Atlètic Lleida
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pobla Mafumet
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
22%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlètic Lleida wins
0
Draws
0
Pobla Mafumet wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
55%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
60%
Home and away record
Atlètic Lleida
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Pobla Mafumet
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Atlètic Lleida | Pobla Mafumet | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Atlètic Lleida
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
17%
Behind
50%
Pobla Mafumet
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Pobla Mafumet |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Atlètic Lleida |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlètic Lleida face Pobla Mafumet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5. Atlètic Lleida have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Pobla Mafumet have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Pobla Mafumet's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pobla Mafumet to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Atlètic Lleida, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Pobla Mafumet. Our top recommended betting pick is Pobla Mafumet Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
