Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Almudévar
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Illueca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Almudévar wins
0
Draws
0
Illueca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
5%
66%
Attack
5%
66%
Defence
22%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Alm Almudévar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 | Ill Illueca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Almudévar face Illueca in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17. Almudévar have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Illueca have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 0 and conceding 7 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 93% probability backing Almudévar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Almudévar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Almudévar, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Illueca. Our top recommended betting pick is Almudévar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
