NPFL · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Shooting Stars
Home
0-0
Full time
Lekan Salami Stadium
Nasarawa United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
28%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Shooting Stars wins
0
Draws
0
Nasarawa United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
44%
33%
Attack
33%
25%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
27%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sho Shooting Stars | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +1 | 60 |
| 5 | Nas Nasarawa United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 56 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Shooting Stars face Nasarawa United in NPFL. Shooting Stars have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.75 points per game). Nasarawa United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Shooting Stars, home advantage and superior chance creation make Shooting Stars to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Shooting Stars, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Nasarawa United. Our top recommended betting pick is Shooting Stars Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Lekan Salami Stadium as part of the NPFL.
