Kansallinen Liiga · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
HJK W
Home
2-3
Full time
Bolt Arena
HPS W
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
23%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
HJK W wins
1
Draws
0
HPS W wins
21 Aug 2026
HPS W
3 - 3
HJK W
19 Jul 2026
HJK W
4 - 0
HPS W
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
86%
Attack
53%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
63%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
HJK W
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
HPS W
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| HJK W | HPS W | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
HJK W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
HPS W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
HJK W face HPS W in Kansallinen Liiga. HJK W have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). HPS W have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, HJK W won 1, HPS W won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing HJK W, home advantage and superior chance creation make HJK W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for HJK W, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for HPS W. Our top recommended betting pick is HJK W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Bolt Arena as part of the Kansallinen Liiga.
