Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Porreres
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Santanyí
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
27%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Porreres wins
0
Draws
0
Santanyí wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
53%
41%
Attack
40%
58%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Porreres
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Santanyí
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Porreres | Santanyí | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Porreres
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Santanyí
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Porreres face Santanyí in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Porreres have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.5 points per game). Santanyí have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Porreres, home advantage and superior chance creation make Porreres to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Porreres, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Santanyí. Our top recommended betting pick is Porreres Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
