Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
San Marcial
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
River Ebro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
14%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
14%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Marcial wins
0
Draws
0
River Ebro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
55%
Recent form
5%
22%
Attack
11%
89%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
San Marcial
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
River Ebro
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
4.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| San Marcial | River Ebro | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
San Marcial
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
River Ebro
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
San Marcial |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 14 |
River Ebro |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Marcial face River Ebro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. San Marcial have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.67 points per game). River Ebro have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 11 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 14%.
With a 83% probability backing San Marcial, home advantage and superior chance creation make San Marcial to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for San Marcial, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for River Ebro. Our top recommended betting pick is San Marcial Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 14%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
