Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
San Marcial
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
River Ebro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
14%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
14%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Marcial wins
0
Draws
0
River Ebro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
55%
Recent form
5%
22%
Attack
11%
89%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San San Marcial | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Riv River Ebro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Marcial face River Ebro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. San Marcial have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.67 points per game). River Ebro have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 11 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 14%.
With a 83% probability backing San Marcial, home advantage and superior chance creation make San Marcial to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for San Marcial, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for River Ebro. Our top recommended betting pick is San Marcial Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 14%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
