Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Caspe
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Épila
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
28%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caspe wins
0
Draws
0
Épila wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
77%
44%
Attack
44%
77%
Defence
89%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Caspe
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Épila
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Caspe | Épila | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Caspe
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Épila
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Caspe face Épila in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17. Caspe have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.33 points per game). Épila have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With a 47% probability backing Caspe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Caspe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Caspe, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Épila. Our top recommended betting pick is Caspe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
