Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Saguntino
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Utiel
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
34%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
20%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.75
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Saguntino wins
0
Draws
0
Utiel wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
22%
26%
Attack
11%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Saguntino
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Utiel
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Saguntino | Utiel | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Saguntino
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Utiel
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Saguntino face Utiel in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6. Saguntino have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Utiel have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 20% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With a 50% probability backing Saguntino, home advantage and superior chance creation make Saguntino to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Saguntino, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Utiel. Our top recommended betting pick is Saguntino Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.75 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
