Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
UD Santa Marta
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Cultural Leonesa II
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
25%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD Santa Marta wins
0
Draws
0
Cultural Leonesa II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
75%
60%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
UD Santa Marta
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Cultural Leonesa II
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| UD Santa Marta | Cultural Leonesa II | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
UD Santa Marta
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Cultural Leonesa II
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Cultural Leonesa II |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
UD Santa Marta |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UD Santa Marta face Cultural Leonesa II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8. UD Santa Marta have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Cultural Leonesa II have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 25% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for UD Santa Marta, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Cultural Leonesa II. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
