Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Cardassar
Home
6-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Alcúdia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
29%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cardassar wins
0
Draws
0
Alcúdia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
66%
44%
Attack
89%
89%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Cardassar
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Alcúdia
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Cardassar | Alcúdia | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Cardassar
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Alcúdia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cardassar face Alcúdia in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Cardassar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game). Alcúdia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Cardassar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cardassar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Cardassar, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Alcúdia. Our top recommended betting pick is Cardassar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
