Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Alcantarilla
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Santa Cruz
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
39%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
14%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.63
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alcantarilla wins
0
Draws
0
Santa Cruz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
55%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
46%
89%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Alcantarilla
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Santa Cruz
last 7 away from home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alcantarilla | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Alcantarilla
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Santa Cruz
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Santa Cruz |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 13 |
Alcantarilla |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alcantarilla face Santa Cruz in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13. Alcantarilla have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (1.67 points per game). Santa Cruz have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 14% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 45% probability backing Alcantarilla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alcantarilla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Alcantarilla, a 39% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Santa Cruz. Our top recommended betting pick is Alcantarilla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.63 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
