Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Malaga City
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Marbelli
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.44
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
7%
Away
88%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Draw/Away
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Malaga City wins
0
Draws
0
Marbelli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
77%
33%
Attack
66%
11%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
88%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mar Marbelli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 18 | Mal Malaga City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Malaga City face Marbelli in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Malaga City have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0 points per game). Marbelli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Marbelli's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 88% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Marbelli to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Malaga City, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 88% probability for Marbelli. Our top recommended betting pick is Marbelli Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
