Segunda División · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Castellón
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Municipal Castalia
AD Ceuta FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellón wins
0
Draws
0
AD Ceuta FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
6%
73%
Attack
13%
86%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Castellón
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
AD Ceuta FC
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Castellón | AD Ceuta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Castellón
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
AD Ceuta FC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Castellón |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 22 |
AD Ceuta FC |
13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -20 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellón face AD Ceuta FC in Segunda División. Castellón have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). AD Ceuta FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Castellón, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellón to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Castellón, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for AD Ceuta FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia as part of the Segunda División.
