Segunda División · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Castellón
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Municipal Castalia
AD Ceuta FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellón wins
0
Draws
0
AD Ceuta FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
6%
66%
Attack
20%
93%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cas Castellón | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 21 | AD AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellón face AD Ceuta FC in Segunda División. Castellón have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 1 (2.6 points per game). AD Ceuta FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Castellón, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellón to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Castellón, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for AD Ceuta FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia as part of the Segunda División.
